Special Full Card Analysis for Saturday’s Big ‘Cap Program at Santa Anita

By John DaSilva

FIRST RACE

6 – St. Reno – has raced well in all three starts since breaking maiden in debut, despite being disqualified and placed fifth this distance and level three starts back. Breaks from an outside post position and should be the main pacesetter of the race

5 – Hook ‘Em Kurt – cuts back in distance after just coming up to break maiden by a nose as the favorite when making first start for a claiming tag and since October. Horse has run his best races with Talamo aboard, who retains the mount here

4 – Classic Ruler – returns to sprint after getting impeded and basically being eased in route debut and first start since breaking maiden and being claimed. Switches to bug and may try to battle for lead

SECOND RACE

10 – Dr. Troutman – is a half to Roo’s Valentine, who won an optional claimer on 2/10 when making her first career start going down the hill at odds of 24-1. He closed well to be second by head going a mile in only career start on turf

8 – Hi Heat Boy – first time starter has been working steadily at Los Alamitos while prepping for career debut. Scratched from off the turf race going longer on 2/18

3 – Full Access – makes turf debut after running evenly while going shorter against high-priced maiden claimers when making career debut

THIRD RACE

8 – Infobedad – returns to dirt after tiring in the Super Bowl Handicap. Set the pace and drew off to an authoritative victory versus claimers in off the turf race going 9 furlongs in previous start. Should not get much early pressure versus these

6 – Ain’t Misbehavin – stretches out after coming off the pace to win starter handicap as the favorite when returning to route

3 – Freddies Dream – defeated state bred optional claimers in off the turf race while going shorter while being claimed by Carava

FOURTH RACE

6 – Paradise Woods – set the pace and tired to second as the favorite this level while going longer when making career debut. Even though she is a filly, she is Triple Crown nominated so her connections do think highly of her

12 – Moon Kitty – set the pace and tired to third at this distance and level when making dirt debut over this course opening day in December

11 – Southern Mischief – first time starter for Baffert has been working well for this spot. But Bob has not won with a three year old filly first time starter on dirt since March 29, 2013 with Tres Belle. Baffert three year old filly firsters on dirt have gone 0 for 18 since then

FIFTH RACE

3 – Ann Arbor Eddie – returns to regular dirt after finishing second as the favorite in the Grade 3 El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate was then disqualified and placed fourth. He defeated state breds in previous two starts while going around. He should stalk a fast pace and just get up to defeat the tiring speed horses here

4 – Mastery – Baffert trainee has been working very well for first start since an impressive victory in the Grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity when making route debut in December. He will be tested early and might get caught in the stretch in this race but it could set him up for better things in the future

5 – Gormley – was hard used throughout and won the Grade 3 Sham the slop. Has been working very well for this spot and should be part of the early pace pressure

SIXTH RACE

6 – Ceeme Run Wild – makes turf route debut and switches to Castellano after being hard used throughout and grudgingly giving way to finish third at this level going down the hill in first start since breaking maiden. Comes in with an excellent bullet work

1 – Madame Stripes – Group placed runner from Argentina drew the rail and stretches out to route after finishing second at 38-1 at this level when making US debut in November

10 – Generous Pour – finish fourth this distance versus claimers in second start off the layoff and was claimed by Dollase

SEVENTH RACE

6 – Colonist – first time starter trained by Hollendorfer has been working very well for this spot. Hollendorfer wins at 28% with three year old first time starters on the Southern California circuit in the past two years

3 – Face of Victory – stretches out after finishing fourth when making first start since May. Comes in with bullet work at Los Alamitos

14 – Lookie Loo – Baffert first time starter is working steadily for career debut. Baffert wins at 15% with three year old first time starters in dirt sprints the past year in Southern California

EIGHTH RACE

5 -Masochistic – connections will be racing with at chip on their shoulder after being disqualified from his second in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Sprint due to failing a drug test that detected the steroid Stanozolol in his system. When he is right he is one the fastest horses in the country. He won 2015 Triple Bend as the favorite and he is three for three lifetime at this distance

3 – Kobe’s Back – makes first start since finishing third as the favorite in the Triple Bend last year, which was run in June. He has a tendency to break slowly and that usually compromises his chances of winning. But he will be flying down the stretch year

4 – Silent Bird – returns to stakes company and cuts back to sprint while seeking his sixth consecutive victory

NINTH RACE

3 – Bolo – just got up to win the Grade 2 Arcadia by a head when making first start since July. He finished second as the favorite in this race last year. He should get a good pace to close into versus these

7 – What a View – has finished second in his last two starts. Wired the field to win this race last year. But he should get much pace pressure versus these

4 – Dortmund – makes turf debut for new trainer Sherman. Dam produced only one runner on grass, who is two for seven lifetime on the surface. Should stalk an expected fast pace

TENTH RACE (BIG CAP)

1 – Midnight Storm – there is a lack of quality speed in this race and the D’Amato trainee has won five of his last six starts in gate to wire fashion. He won his last two starts as the favorite with moisture in the track. Drew the rail and Bejarano will nurse him to victory

3 – Shaman Ghost – makes local debut for Jimmy Jerkens and Stronach Stables after finishing second to Arrogate in the Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup. Won the Queen’s Plate this distance as the three year old. Switches to Castellano

6 – Follow Me Crev – stretches out after defeating optional claimers when making first start since July and switching to Desormeaux.

ELEVENTH RACE

4 – How About Zero – returns to stakes company after finishing second as the favorite against state bred optional claimers at this distance

1 – Miss Sugars – drew the rail and stretches out after closing to finish second as the favorite last out. Won the Blue Norther Stakes by a head in previous start this distance

5 – Sircat Sally – won as the favorite this distance against state breds when making turf debut. Will be compromised by pressure from other horses in this race